MEM 125-118 DEN, March 18, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MEM beat DEN 125-118, and MEM's shots were worth 130.9 points to DEN's 119.4.

MEM 125-118 DEN, March 18, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MEM	98	100	105.3	25/32	25.6	125	130.9
DEN	90	101	101.3	17/22	18.1	118	119.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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