UTA 116-147 MIA, January 24, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIA beat UTA 147-116, and MIA's shots were worth 144.8 points to UTA's 121.2.

UTA 116-147 MIA, January 24, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
UTA929598.721/2822.4116121.2
MIA108113112.234/4232.6147144.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.