ORL 105-119 CLE, January 24, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. CLE beat ORL 119-105, but ORL's shots were worth 104.9 points to CLE's 100.4.

ORL 105-119 CLE, January 24, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ORL	81	77	79.5	28/32	25.4	105	104.9
CLE	81	101	83.7	18/22	16.8	119	100.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.