MIN 85-111 GSW, January 25, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat MIN 111-85, and GSW's shots were worth 119.3 points to MIN's 99.9.

MIN 85-111 GSW, January 25, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	79	73	84.2	12/20	15.7	85	99.9
GSW	95	96	106.0	15/16	13.3	111	119.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.