No. TOR beat POR 110-98, but POR's shots were worth 112.8 points to TOR's 106.0.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POR | 98 | 91 | 105.1 | 7/10 | 7.7 | 98 | 112.8 |
| TOR | 85 | 99 | 92.6 | 11/17 | 13.4 | 110 | 106.0 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
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