MIL 100-102 DEN, January 23, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat MIL 102-100, and DEN's shots were worth 115.9 points to MIL's 109.6.

MIL 100-102 DEN, January 23, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	85	80	90.6	20/27	19.0	100	109.6
DEN	87	82	97.7	20/23	18.1	102	115.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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