CLE 123-118 SAC, January 23, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CLE beat SAC 123-118, and CLE's shots were worth 122.5 points to SAC's 118.0.

CLE 123-118 SAC, January 23, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CLE96101102.222/2720.3123122.5
SAC8997100.121/2217.8118118.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.