BKN 126-130 BOS, January 23, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. BOS beat BKN 130-126, but BKN's shots were worth 132.2 points to BOS's 125.4.

BKN 126-130 BOS, January 23, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BKN9597105.129/3427.1126132.2
BOS109120112.810/1612.6130125.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.