ATL 110-103 PHX, January 23, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. ATL beat PHX 110-103, but PHX's shots were worth 113.7 points to ATL's 99.2.

ATL 110-103 PHX, January 23, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	81	99	86.5	11/16	12.6	110	99.2
PHX	95	95	106.3	8/9	7.4	103	113.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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