DET 104-111 HOU, January 23, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. HOU beat DET 111-104, but DET's shots were worth 113.0 points to HOU's 107.0.

DET 104-111 HOU, January 23, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DET	84	87	94.4	17/24	18.6	104	113.0
HOU	79	87	84.1	24/30	22.9	111	107.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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