POR 127-110 MIA, January 22, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. POR beat MIA 127-110, but MIA's shots were worth 118.5 points to POR's 112.7.

POR 127-110 MIA, January 22, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
POR	96	116	102.7	11/13	10.1	127	112.7
MIA	94	95	103.6	15/19	14.9	110	118.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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