LAC 112-104 LAL, January 22, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. LAC beat LAL 112-104, and LAC's shots were worth 105.9 points to LAL's 102.5.

LAC 112-104 LAL, January 22, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LAC849289.120/2116.8112105.9
LAL889188.713/1813.9104102.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.