UTA 109-126 SAS, January 22, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAS beat UTA 126-109, and SAS's shots were worth 108.3 points to UTA's 106.9.

UTA 109-126 SAS, January 22, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
UTA	90	98	96.8	11/13	10.1	109	106.9
SAS	87	106	89.9	20/24	18.4	126	108.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.