Neither side had the better shots. DAL beat GSW 123-115, and the shots on each side were worth 120.8.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 86 | 99 | 97.7 | 24/30 | 23.1 | 123 | 120.8 |
| GSW | 96 | 101 | 106.6 | 14/18 | 14.3 | 115 | 120.8 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.