PHI 128-122 HOU, January 22, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. PHI beat HOU 128-122, but HOU's shots were worth 129.2 points to PHI's 121.6.

PHI 128-122 HOU, January 22, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHI	89	109	103.3	19/22	18.3	128	121.6
HOU	99	110	110.7	12/24	18.4	122	129.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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