MIL 102-122 OKC, January 21, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat MIL 122-102, and OKC's shots were worth 108.7 points to MIL's 98.2.

MIL 102-122 OKC, January 21, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	81	96	91.9	6/9	6.3	102	98.2
OKC	90	112	96.3	10/15	12.4	122	108.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.