NOP 104-112 DET, January 21, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. DET beat NOP 112-104, but NOP's shots were worth 119.6 points to DET's 117.9.

NOP 104-112 DET, January 21, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	86	79	95.3	25/30	24.4	104	119.6
DET	88	93	99.4	19/24	18.5	112	117.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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