BOS 119-104 IND, January 21, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. BOS beat IND 119-104, but IND's shots were worth 109.3 points to BOS's 109.1.

BOS 119-104 IND, January 21, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BOS	88	96	89.1	23/25	19.9	119	109.1
IND	94	86	91.3	18/23	17.9	104	109.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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