SAC 117-130 MIA, January 20, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIA beat SAC 130-117, and MIA's shots were worth 116.9 points to SAC's 101.6.

SAC 117-130 MIA, January 20, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAC	87	99	84.7	18/21	16.8	117	101.6
MIA	98	115	98.1	15/24	18.8	130	116.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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