GSW 127-145 TOR, January 20, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. TOR beat GSW 145-127, but GSW's shots were worth 119.3 points to TOR's 110.9.

GSW 127-145 TOR, January 20, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	91	110	98.8	17/26	20.4	127	119.3
TOR	86	123	93.1	22/22	17.8	145	110.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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