HOU 111-106 SAS, January 20, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. HOU beat SAS 111-106, but SAS's shots were worth 117.5 points to HOU's 106.0.

HOU 111-106 SAS, January 20, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	83	96	89.6	15/22	16.4	111	106.0
SAS	105	96	109.4	10/10	8.1	106	117.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

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