PHI 110-116 PHX, January 20, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat PHI 116-110, but PHI's shots were worth 126.4 points to PHX's 117.2.

PHI 110-116 PHX, January 20, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHI	93	89	104.7	21/27	21.6	110	126.4
PHX	92	96	101.2	20/20	16.0	116	117.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.