No. GSW beat MIA 135-112, but MIA's shots were worth 126.7 points to GSW's 114.9.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GSW | 95 | 122 | 101.3 | 13/17 | 13.6 | 135 | 114.9 |
| MIA | 99 | 91 | 107.8 | 21/24 | 18.9 | 112 | 126.7 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.