LAL 110-93 TOR, January 18, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. LAL beat TOR 110-93, but TOR's shots were worth 109.7 points to LAL's 99.6.

LAL 110-93 TOR, January 18, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LAL859687.314/1712.311099.6
TOR918397.910/1511.793109.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.