MEM 126-109 ORL, January 18, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MEM beat ORL 126-109, and MEM's shots were worth 120.9 points to ORL's 116.9.

MEM 126-109 ORL, January 18, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MEM	91	109	101.3	17/25	19.5	126	120.9
ORL	95	94	104.3	15/16	12.6	109	116.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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