DEN 121-115 WAS, January 17, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. DEN beat WAS 121-115, but WAS's shots were worth 128.1 points to DEN's 108.9.

DEN 121-115 WAS, January 17, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	85	104	90.4	17/23	18.5	121	108.9
WAS	96	99	106.3	16/29	21.8	115	128.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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