SAS 126-123 MIN, January 17, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAS beat MIN 126-123, and SAS's shots were worth 130.4 points to MIN's 121.2.

SAS 126-123 MIN, January 17, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAS	94	109	108.2	17/28	22.2	126	130.4
MIN	90	98	98.7	25/28	22.6	123	121.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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