MIA 122-120 OKC, January 17, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIA beat OKC 122-120, and MIA's shots were worth 145.6 points to OKC's 109.7.

MIA 122-120 OKC, January 17, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	111	102	123.2	20/28	22.3	122	145.6
OKC	77	97	86.0	23/28	23.6	120	109.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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