ATL 106-132 BOS, January 17, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. BOS beat ATL 132-106, but ATL's shots were worth 128.0 points to BOS's 119.6.

ATL 106-132 BOS, January 17, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	102	91	114.6	15/17	13.4	106	128.0
BOS	91	114	102.6	18/22	17.0	132	119.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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