SAC 128-115 WAS, January 16, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAC beat WAS 128-115, and SAC's shots were worth 111.7 points to WAS's 108.0.

SAC 128-115 WAS, January 16, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
SAC8110988.019/3023.7128111.7
WAS909992.816/2115.2115108.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.