IND 127-119 NOP, January 16, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. IND beat NOP 127-119, and IND's shots were worth 117.6 points to NOP's 109.1.

IND 127-119 NOP, January 16, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	101	119	108.2	8/12	9.4	127	117.6
NOP	82	95	85.4	24/30	23.7	119	109.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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