LAL 117-135 CHA, January 15, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. CHA beat LAL 135-117, but LAL's shots were worth 113.0 points to CHA's 112.5.

LAL 117-135 CHA, January 15, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LAL9310095.317/2317.8117113.0
CHA9212099.215/1613.3135112.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.