HOU 91-111 OKC, January 15, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. OKC beat HOU 111-91, but HOU's shots were worth 121.8 points to OKC's 109.1.

HOU 91-111 OKC, January 15, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	104	77	108.1	14/17	13.7	91	121.8
OKC	89	98	96.5	13/15	12.6	111	109.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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