MIA 114-119 BOS, January 15, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. BOS beat MIA 119-114, but MIA's shots were worth 111.1 points to BOS's 109.1.

MIA 114-119 BOS, January 15, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	87	93	89.7	21/27	21.4	114	111.1
BOS	91	95	88.6	24/25	20.5	119	109.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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