ORL 118-111 MEM, January 15, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ORL beat MEM 118-111, and ORL's shots were worth 127.3 points to MEM's 104.6.

ORL 118-111 MEM, January 15, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ORL	95	97	109.1	21/23	18.2	118	127.3
MEM	83	93	88.4	18/21	16.1	111	104.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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