CHI 128-126 UTA, January 14, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. CHI beat UTA 128-126, but UTA's shots were worth 129.4 points to CHI's 120.4.

CHI 128-126 UTA, January 14, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CHI92111103.917/2116.6128120.4
UTA86102107.224/2722.2126129.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.