IND 101-115 TOR, January 14, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. TOR beat IND 115-101, and TOR's shots were worth 122.0 points to IND's 117.5.

IND 101-115 TOR, January 14, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	86	78	94.0	23/31	23.5	101	117.5
TOR	89	98	101.2	17/26	20.7	115	122.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.