No. LAL beat ATL 141-116, but ATL's shots were worth 120.5 points to LAL's 110.6.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAL | 83 | 115 | 87.7 | 26/30 | 22.9 | 141 | 110.6 |
| ATL | 100 | 103 | 106.5 | 13/18 | 14.0 | 116 | 120.5 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.