NOP 116-122 DEN, January 13, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. DEN beat NOP 122-116, but NOP's shots were worth 121.0 points to DEN's 115.4.

NOP 116-122 DEN, January 13, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	86	89	96.5	27/31	24.5	116	121.0
DEN	84	96	90.0	26/32	25.4	122	115.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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