SAC 124-112 LAL, January 12, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. SAC beat LAL 124-112, but LAL's shots were worth 107.8 points to SAC's 90.2.

SAC 124-112 LAL, January 12, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
SAC8211378.711/1411.412490.2
LAL849087.222/2820.5112107.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.