SAC 111-98 HOU, January 11, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. SAC beat HOU 111-98, but HOU's shots were worth 107.7 points to SAC's 104.9.

SAC 111-98 HOU, January 11, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAC	91	96	89.2	15/20	15.7	111	104.9
HOU	84	79	85.9	19/29	21.8	98	107.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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