PHX 112-93 WAS, January 11, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PHX beat WAS 112-93, and PHX's shots were worth 119.1 points to WAS's 104.2.

PHX 112-93 WAS, January 11, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PHX9597104.515/1914.6112119.1
WAS867590.518/1813.793104.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.