DEN 108-104 MIL, January 11, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat MIL 108-104, and DEN's shots were worth 112.2 points to MIL's 102.9.

DEN 108-104 MIL, January 11, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	87	84	88.1	24/31	24.1	108	112.2
MIL	85	90	89.0	14/20	13.9	104	102.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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