OKC 124-112 MIA, January 11, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat MIA 124-112, and OKC's shots were worth 126.4 points to MIA's 95.6.

OKC 124-112 MIA, January 11, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OKC	93	104	103.1	20/28	23.3	124	126.4
MIA	82	105	85.0	7/13	10.6	112	95.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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