MIN 104-103 SAS, January 11, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat SAS 104-103, and MIN's shots were worth 117.9 points to SAS's 114.9.

MIN 104-103 SAS, January 11, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	90	90	98.3	14/25	19.6	104	117.9
SAS	88	81	95.3	22/25	19.7	103	114.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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