MEM 103-98 BKN, January 11, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MEM beat BKN 103-98, and MEM's shots were worth 109.5 points to BKN's 109.0.

MEM 103-98 BKN, January 11, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MEM	88	85	94.8	18/18	14.7	103	109.5
BKN	88	90	96.7	8/16	12.3	98	109.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.