ORL 128-118 NOP, January 11, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ORL beat NOP 128-118, and ORL's shots were worth 114.9 points to NOP's 102.0.

ORL 128-118 NOP, January 11, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ORL	82	97	86.9	31/35	28.0	128	114.9
NOP	80	106	90.4	12/15	11.6	118	102.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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