CHI 125-107 DAL, January 10, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CHI beat DAL 125-107, and CHI's shots were worth 124.3 points to DAL's 120.7.

CHI 125-107 DAL, January 10, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CHI97115114.710/129.6125124.3
DAL9191102.316/2518.5107120.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.