IND 123-99 MIA, January 10, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. IND beat MIA 123-99, and IND's shots were worth 123.5 points to MIA's 118.6.

IND 123-99 MIA, January 10, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	98	105	106.3	18/22	17.2	123	123.5
MIA	92	76	95.7	23/29	22.9	99	118.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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