GSW 137-103 SAC, January 9, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat SAC 137-103, and GSW's shots were worth 109.3 points to SAC's 96.0.

GSW 137-103 SAC, January 9, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	95	123	97.9	14/14	11.5	137	109.3
SAC	86	93	85.6	10/13	10.3	103	96.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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